Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000023
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000027
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000035
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000041
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000046
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000052
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000058
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000067
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000080
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000034 0.000092
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000037 0.000109
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000040 0.000127
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000044 0.000150
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000046 0.000167
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000049 0.000194
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000053 0.000228
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000055 0.000253
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000059 0.000289